Retrospective determination of whether famine existed in Niger, 2005: two stage cluster survey

BMJ. 2008 Oct 2:337:a1622. doi: 10.1136/bmj.a1622.

Abstract

Objective: To apply the famine scale by Howe and Devereux to the situation in Niger, west Africa, in 2005 to retrospectively determine whether famine existed.

Design: Two stage cluster survey.

Setting: Survey of households in each of Niger's eight regions.

Participants: 4003 households.

Main outcome measures: Crude mortality, mortality in children under 5, and the proportion of caregivers both nationally and regionally adopting coping strategies to deal with insufficient food needs.

Results: The estimated national crude mortality rate was 0.4 (0.4 to 0.5) deaths per 10,000 per day and under 5 mortality rate was 1.7 (1.4 to 1.9) deaths per 10,000 per day. Nationally, 22.3% (95% confidence interval 19.9% to 24.8%) of caregivers of under 5s did not resort to any coping strategies to deal with insufficient food needs. Reversible coping strategies were, however, used by 5.8% (4.7% to 7.0%) of caregivers, whereas 49.4% (46.9% to 51.8%) relied on irreversible coping strategies and 22.6% (20.0% to 25.4%) on survival strategies.

Conclusion: On the basis of the famine scale proposed by Howe and Devereux, most regions in Niger experienced food crisis conditions and some areas approached famine proportions.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adaptation, Psychological
  • Caregivers / statistics & numerical data
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cluster Analysis
  • Food Supply*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Niger / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Rural Health
  • Starvation / mortality*
  • Starvation / psychology
  • Survival Rate