Expert intuitions: how to model the decision strategies of airport customs officers?

Acta Psychol (Amst). 2013 Sep;144(1):97-103. doi: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2013.05.003. Epub 2013 Jun 19.

Abstract

How does expertise impact the selection of decision strategies? We asked airport customs officers and a novice control group to decide which passengers (described on several cue dimensions) they would submit to a search. Additionally, participants estimated the validities of the different cues. Then we modeled the decisions using compensatory strategies, which integrate many cues, and a noncompensatory heuristic, which relies on one-reason decision making. The majority of the customs officers were best described by the noncompensatory heuristic, whereas the majority of the novices were best described by a compensatory strategy. We also found that the experts' subjective cue validity estimates showed a higher dispersion across the cues and that differences in cue dispersion partially mediated differences in strategy use between experts and novices. Our results suggest that experts often rely on one-reason decision making and that expert-novice differences in strategy selection may reflect a response to the internal representation of the environment.

Keywords: 2340; 3430; Customs; Decision strategies; Expertise; Heuristics; Strategy selection.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Airports*
  • Cues*
  • Decision Making*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Intuition*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Psychological*
  • Taxes*
  • Travel*
  • United States
  • Workforce