Mortality in an Italian nursing home during COVID-19 pandemic: correlation with gender, age, ADL, vitamin D supplementation, and limitations of the diagnostic tests

Aging (Albany NY). 2020 Dec 22;12(24):24522-24534. doi: 10.18632/aging.202307. Epub 2020 Dec 22.

Abstract

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic caused an increased mortality in nursing homes due to its quick spread and the age-related high lethality.

Results: We observed a two-month mortality of 40%, compared to 6.4% in the previous year. This increase was seen in both COVID-19 positive (43%) and negative (24%) residents, but 8 patients among those testing negative on the swab, tested positive on serological tests. Increased mortality was associated with male gender, older age, no previous vitamin D supplementation and worse "activities of daily living (ADL)" scores, such as Barthel index, Tinetti scale and S.OS.I.A.

Conclusion: Our data confirms a higher geriatric mortality due to COVID-19. Negative residents also had higher mortality, which we suspect is secondary to preanalytical error and a low sensitivity of the swab test in poorly compliant subjects. Male gender, older age and low scores on ADL scales (probably due to immobility) are risk factors for COVID-19 related mortality. Finally, mortality was inversely associated with vitamin D supplementation.

Design: In this observational study, we described the two-month mortality among the 157 residents (age 60-100) of a nursing home after Sars-CoV-2 spreading, reporting the factors associated with the outcome. We also compared the diagnostic tests for Sars-CoV-2.

Keywords: COVID-19; activities of daily living; hydroxychloroquine; nasopharyngeal swab; sensitivity and specificity; serology.

MeSH terms

  • Activities of Daily Living
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • COVID-19 / diagnosis
  • COVID-19 / mortality*
  • COVID-19 / therapy
  • COVID-19 / virology
  • Dietary Supplements
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Nursing Homes*
  • Pandemics
  • SARS-CoV-2*
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Sex Factors
  • Vitamin D / administration & dosage

Substances

  • Vitamin D