Pancreatic index: A prognostic factor of upfront surgery for body or tail pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma with vascular involvement-A retrospective study

Abstract

Background: The pancreatic index (PI) is a useful preoperative imaging predictor for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). In this retrospective study, we determined the predictive effect of PI to distinguish patients of pancreatic body/tail cancer (PBTC) with vascular involvement who can benefit from upfront surgery.

Method: All patients who received distal pancreatectomy for PDAC from 2016 to 2020 at the Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine were considered for the study. A total of 429 patients with PBTC were assessed in relation to the value of PI. Fifty-five patients were eventually included and divided into low PI group and 29 patients in the normal PI group.

Results: The median overall survival (mOS) was significantly shorter in the low PI group (13.1 vs. 30.0 months, p = 0.002) in this study, and PI ≥ 0.78 (OR = 0.552, 95% CI: 0.301-0.904, p = 0.020) was an independent influencing factor confirmed by multivariate analysis. Subgroup analysis showed that PI was an independent prognostic factor for LA-PBTC (OR = 0.272, 95% CI: 0.077-0.969, p = 0.045). As for BR PBTC, PI (OR = 0.519, 95% CI: 0.285-0.947, p = 0.033) combined with carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) (OR = 2.806, 95% CI: 1.206-6.526, p = 0.017) and chemotherapy (OR = 0.327, 95% CI: 0.140-0.763, p = 0.010) were independent factors.

Conclusion: This study suggests that the PI can be used as a predictive factor to optimize the surgical indication for PBTC with vascular involvement. Preoperative patients with normal PI and CA125 can achieve a long-term prognosis comparable to that of resectable PBTC patients.

Keywords: borderline resectable; locally advanced; pancreatic body/tail cancer; pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; pancreatic index.