A decision-analytic approach to postexposure rabies prophylaxis

Am J Public Health. 1994 Jul;84(7):1144-8. doi: 10.2105/ajph.84.7.1144.

Abstract

The risks and benefits of postexposure rabies prophylaxis were analyzed from clinical and economic perspectives. A decision-analytic model was constructed by using probability and outcome data from the literature and the state health department. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life years. In the base case (overweight adult male), treatment is optimal when the probability of animal rabidity is greater than 1 in 2000. Sensitivity analysis showed robustness in the treatment decision; however, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio ($140,000/quality-adjusted life year) is sensitive to the rabidity probability. Treatment is optimal from the patient's perspective; however, it may not be cost-effective when the probability of rabidity is low.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Decision Trees
  • Disease Vectors
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Opossums
  • Probability
  • Quality of Life
  • Rabies / epidemiology
  • Rabies / therapy*
  • Rabies / transmission
  • Rabies Vaccines / economics
  • Rabies Vaccines / therapeutic use*
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

Substances

  • Rabies Vaccines