Decision theory in medicine: a review and critique

Milbank Mem Fund Q Health Soc. Summer 1978;56(3):362-401.


Decision theory's role in medicine will lie between the extremes of naive optimism ("a Rosetta stone") and unmitigated pessimism ("a computerized Ouija board"). Its application to public health policy, research, and administrative problem-solving is established; experience offers some guidelines for more limited use in clinical practice.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Decision Making*
  • Diagnosis
  • Game Theory
  • Health Services / economics
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care*
  • Probability
  • Public Policy
  • Risk