The danger of applying group-level utilities in decision analyses of the treatment of localized prostate cancer in individual patients

Med Decis Making. 1998 Oct-Dec;18(4):376-80. doi: 10.1177/0272989X9801800404.

Abstract

The optimal management strategy for men who have localized prostate cancer remains controversial. This study examines the extent to which suggested treatment based on the perspective of a group or society agrees with that derived from individual patients' preferences. A previously published decision analysis for localized prostate cancer was used to suggest the treatment that maximized quality-adjusted life expectancy. Two treatment recommendations were obtained for each patient: the first (group-level) was derived using the mean utilities of the cohort; the second (individual-level) used his own set of utilities. Group-level utilities misrepresented 25-48% of individuals' preferences depending on the grade of tumor modeled. The best kappa measure achieved between group and individual preferences was 0.11. The average quality-adjusted life years lost due to misrepresentation of preference was as high as 1.7 quality-adjusted life years. Use of aggregated utilities in a group-level decision analysis can ignore the substantial variability at the individual level. Caution is needed when applying a group-level recommendation to the treatment of localized prostate cancer in an individual patient.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Participation
  • Patient Selection*
  • Prostatectomy*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / psychology
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years*