Latent class analysis of human herpesvirus 8 assay performance and infection prevalence in sub-saharan Africa and Malta

Int J Cancer. 2000 Dec 15;88(6):1003-8. doi: 10.1002/1097-0215(20001215)88:6<1003::aid-ijc26>3.0.co;2-9.

Abstract

Human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) is thought to be highly prevalent in Mediterranean countries and sub-Saharan Africa, where it causes Kaposi's sarcoma in a small proportion of infected immunocompetent persons. However, the lack of serological tests with established accuracy has hindered our understanding of the prevalence, risk factors and natural history of HHV-8 infection. We tested 837 subjects from Congo, Botswana (mostly young adults) and Malta (elderly adults), using an immunofluorescence assay and 2 enzyme immunoassays (EIAs, to viral proteins K8.1 and orf65). Each assay found HHV-8 seroprevalence to be high (49-87%) in the African populations and generally lower (9-54%) in Malta. However, there was only modest agreement among tests regarding which subjects were seropositive (3-way kappa, 0.05-0.34). We used latent class analysis to model this lack of agreement, estimating each test's sensitivity and specificity and each population's HHV-8 prevalence. Using this approach, the K8.1 EIA had consistently high sensitivity (91-100%) and specificity (92-100%) across populations, suggesting that it might be useful for epidemiological studies. Compared with the K8.1 EIA, both the immunofluorescence assay and the orf65 EIA had more variable sensitivity (80-100% and 58-87%, respectively) and more variable specificity (57-100% and 48-85%, respectively). HHV-8 prevalence was 7% among elderly Maltese adults. Prevalence was much higher (82%) in Congo, consistent with very high Kaposi's sarcoma incidence there. Prevalence was also high in Botswana (87% in Sans, an indigenous group, and 76% in Bantus), though Kaposi's sarcoma is not common, suggesting that additional co-factors besides HHV-8 are needed for development of Kaposi's sarcoma.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Botswana / epidemiology
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Child
  • Congo / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Fluorescent Antibody Technique
  • Herpesviridae Infections / epidemiology*
  • Herpesvirus 8, Human / isolation & purification*
  • Humans
  • Immunoenzyme Techniques
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Malta / epidemiology
  • Middle Aged
  • Prevalence
  • Sarcoma, Kaposi / epidemiology*
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Viral Proteins / analysis

Substances

  • ORF65 protein, human herpesvirus 8
  • Viral Proteins