Opportunities for a probabilistic risk assessment of chemicals in the European Union

Chemosphere. 2001 Apr;43(2):257-64. doi: 10.1016/s0045-6535(00)00087-4.

Abstract

In risk assessment of new and existing substances, it is current practice to characterise risk using a deterministic quotient of the exposure concentration, or the dose, and a no-effect level. A sense of uncertainty is tackled by introducing worst-case assumptions in the methodology. Since this procedure leads to an assessment with an unknown degree of conservatism, it is advisable to deal quantitatively with uncertainties. This paper discusses the advantages and possibilities of a probabilistic risk assessment framework, illustrated with an example calculation. Furthermore, representatives of EU Member States and the chemical industry were interviewed to find out their views on applying uncertainty analysis to risk assessment of industrial chemicals.

MeSH terms

  • Environmental Exposure / standards
  • Environmental Exposure / statistics & numerical data*
  • European Union
  • Food Contamination
  • Humans
  • Industrial Waste
  • International Cooperation
  • Models, Statistical
  • No-Observed-Adverse-Effect Level
  • Risk Assessment / legislation & jurisprudence
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Soil Pollutants
  • Water Pollution

Substances

  • Industrial Waste
  • Soil Pollutants