Winter planning. Seasonal cycles

Health Serv J. 2002 Jan 31;112(5790):24-5.


It is possible to forecast emergency admissions and bed requirements with considerable accuracy up to a year in advance. A model is being developed which would analyse the effects of weather, flu epidemics and different surges in demand. The discharge pattern of many hospitals indicates a rush to discharge by the weekend that could raise concerns about appropriate care.

MeSH terms

  • Emergency Service, Hospital / statistics & numerical data*
  • Forecasting
  • Health Services Needs and Demand / trends*
  • Humans
  • Patient Admission / trends*
  • Patient Discharge / trends*
  • Planning Techniques*
  • Seasons*
  • State Medicine / statistics & numerical data
  • United Kingdom