Initial bone marrow aspiration in childhood idiopathic thrombocytopenia: decision analysis

J Pediatr Hematol Oncol. 2001 Nov;23(8):511-8. doi: 10.1097/00043426-200111000-00009.

Abstract

Purpose: Bone marrow aspiration (BMA) is routinely performed before starting steroid therapy in children with idiopathic thrombocytopenia, primarily to rule out leukemia.

Methods: A decision tree for the initial management of a child older than age 6 months, presenting with idiopathic thrombocytopenia, without blasts on the peripheral smear was constructed. The three strategies are: 1) initial BMA in all patients; 2) initial BMA only in patients at high risk; and 3) empiric therapy for all patients without initial BMA. High-risk criteria include any of: platelet count >50 x 10(9)/L; hemoglobin <100 g/L (age younger than 12 months) or <110 g/L (age older than 12 months): white blood cell count <5 x 10(9)/L (younger than 6 years) or <4 x 10(9)/L (older than 6 years); or absolute neutrophil count <1.5 x 10(9)/L (younger than 6 years) or <2 x 10(9)/L (older than 6 years). The results are expressed as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), a measure that estimates the overall life expectancy in years for patients receiving a particular treatment strategy, corrected for the patient's quality of life.

Results: The base case results are: 1) BMA all = 69.649 QALYs; 2) high-risk BMA = 69.652 QALYs; and 3) empiric therapy = 69.644 QALYs. These results indicate a three-way toss-up because there is less than a 4-day quality-adjusted difference (0.01) between strategies.

Conclusion: This study indicates that the initial BMA does not significantly change the overall QALYs of a child presenting with thrombocytopenia and, consequently, is not mandatory in every patient before starting steroids.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Biopsy, Needle
  • Bone Marrow / pathology
  • Bone Marrow Examination*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Diagnosis, Differential
  • Female
  • Health Status Indicators
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Leukemia / diagnosis*
  • Leukemia / pathology
  • Life Expectancy
  • Male
  • Purpura, Thrombocytopenic, Idiopathic / diagnosis*
  • Purpura, Thrombocytopenic, Idiopathic / pathology
  • Quality of Life
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sensitivity and Specificity