Survival and prognostic indicators in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis after onset of hepatic decompensation

J Clin Gastroenterol. May-Jun 2002;34(5):569-72. doi: 10.1097/00004836-200205000-00018.

Abstract

Goals: To determine the 2-year survival and prognostic indicators of hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis after the onset of hepatic decompensation.

Background: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis and resultant hepatic decompensation have reduced survival. However, the natural history of these patients has not been well characterized in previous studies. Better understanding of survival and prognostic indicators is essential in management of these patients, especially in determining who should be candidates for orthotopic liver transplantation.

Study: This is a retrospective longitudinal study of 96 patients with CHB-related cirrhosis after the onset of hepatic decompensation. The overall survival was ascertained, and clinical and laboratory variables were analyzed. Significant prognostic indicators for survival at 2 years were determined using univariate and multivariate analyses with Cox regression model.

Results: The overall survival was 80% at 2 years after onset of decompensation. With univariate and multivariate analyses, hepatic encephalopathy and hypoalbuminemia less than 2.8 g/dL were significant prognostic indicators of poor survival probability. The hazard ratios were 5.22 (95% confidence interval, 1.67-16.3) and 8.57 (95% confidence interval, 1.94-37.8), respectively. Patients with hypoalbuminemia less than 2.8 g/dL had a 2-year survival of only 62%.

Conclusions: Our study showed that of CHB patients who developed the first episode of hepatic decompensation, those with hepatic encephalopathy or significant hypoalbuminemia or both have worse prognoses. They should be considered potential candidates for liver transplantation.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hepatic Encephalopathy / mortality
  • Hepatitis B, Chronic / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Liver Cirrhosis / mortality*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / virology
  • Liver Failure / mortality*
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Factors