PET predicts prognosis after 1 cycle of chemotherapy in aggressive lymphoma and Hodgkin's disease

Abstract

Early identification of chemotherapy-refractory lymphoma patients provides a basis for alternative treatment strategies. Metabolic imaging with (18)F-FDG PET offers functional tissue characterization that is useful for assessing response to therapy. Our objective was to determine the predictive value of (18)F-FDG PET early during chemotherapy (after 1 cycle) and at the completion of chemotherapy for subsequent progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) or Hodgkin's disease (HD).

Methods: (18)F-FDG PET (dual-head coincidence camera with attenuation correction) was performed before and after 1 cycle of chemotherapy on 30 patients (17 NHL, 13 HD; mean age, 52.3 +/- 16.0 y). For 23 of the 30 patients, (18)F-FDG PET data were also obtained after the completion of chemotherapy. The patients had a median follow-up of 19 mo (range, 18-24 mo). Follow-up of PFS was compared between patients with positive and negative (18)F-FDG PET results obtained after the first cycle of chemotherapy and at the completion of chemotherapy.

Results: Positive (18)F-FDG PET results obtained both after the first cycle and at the completion of therapy were associated with a shorter PFS (median, 5 and 0 mo, respectively) than were negative (18)F-FDG PET results (PFS medians not reached). A statistically significant difference in PFS between positive and negative (18)F-FDG PET results was obtained both after the first cycle and at the completion of chemotherapy (P < or = 0.001). The PFS and (18)F-FDG PET results obtained after the first cycle correlated better than those obtained after the completion of chemotherapy (r(2) = 0.45 vs. 0.17). (18)F-FDG PET had more false-negative results after the last cycle (6/17 cases, or 35%) than after the first cycle (2/13 cases, or 15%). Thus, (18)F-FDG PET had greater sensitivity and positive predictive values after the first cycle (82% vs. 45.5% and 90% vs. 83%, respectively) than after the last cycle.

Conclusion: (18)F-FDG PET after 1 cycle of chemotherapy is predictive of 18-mo outcome in patients with aggressive NHL and HD and may earlier identify patients who would benefit from more intensive treatment programs.