[Population policies and population trends in China]

Cah Que Demogr. 1983 Apr;12(1):127-39.
[Article in French]

Abstract

PIP: Although relatively little has been known about the Chinese population in recent centuries, figures are available for more remote times. In the year 2 the Chinese population was recorded at 60 million. In 1928, when the last pre-Revolution census was conducted, China had a population of 475 million. The population was not believed to have grown very much due to internal disorders, war, and foreigh invasion, but the 1953 census counted 582 million to which were added 18 million to include Taiwan and overseas Chinese. The figure of 600 million appears to mark the beginning of concern over demographic problems. The crude birth rate was estimated at 37/1000 and the death rate at 17/1000. The 1953 census was conducted with Soviet aid and was given some publicity. The period 1953-58 was marked by a mortality decline and a steady fertility rate, but the population is believed to have declined from 647 million in 1958 to 643 million in 1962, the end of the Great Leap Forward. A census suppressed until recently gave a total of 694 million for 1964. Population growth was considerable from 1961-66. In the 1st part of the Cultural Revolution from 1966-70, no effort was made to control population growth; in 1971, the crude birth rate was estimated at 30-35/1000, the mortality rate was 8/1000, and the growth rate was 2.6%. 1971-79 marked the 1st phase of birth limitation, which became more pressing with time. The population was counted at 1 billion 8 million in 1982, with a birth rate of 21/1000, a death rate of 6/1000, and a growth rate of 1.5%. Because of China's comprehensive system of population registration, the results of the 1982 census were not completely unexpected. Wide differences in growth rates were noted between provinces, and the minorities grew at a faster rate than the Han majority. Immediately after the Revolution, population was relatively neglected in China in favor of greater attention to economic growth. The 1st warnings about the consequences of overly rapid growth were criticized as Malthusianism. The 1st true birth control campaigns occurred around 1956, but the idea of Malthusianism was incompatible with the enthusiasm of the 1st part of the Great Leap Forward. A 2nd campaign at the end of the Great Leap Forward ended with the coming of the Cultural Revolution in 1966. The 3rd campaign, from about 1971-79, called for later marriage, wider spacing of births, and fewer children. Efforts were made to reconcile the antinatalist stance with Marxist theory particularly in the earlier years of population control efforts, but they have been largely abandoned. In recent years China's demographers have become more active in international demographic circles and have furnished a wider array of population data.

Publication types

  • English Abstract

MeSH terms

  • Asia
  • Asia, Eastern
  • China
  • Conservation of Natural Resources
  • Demography*
  • Developing Countries
  • Environment
  • Family Planning Policy*
  • Fertility*
  • Mortality*
  • Politics*
  • Population Control*
  • Population Density*
  • Population Dynamics*
  • Population Growth*
  • Population*
  • Public Policy*