The global burden of measles in the year 2000--a model that uses country-specific indicators

J Infect Dis. 2003 May 15;187 Suppl 1:S8-14. doi: 10.1086/368114.

Abstract

The estimation of the global burden of measles is challenging in the absence of reliable and comparable surveillance systems worldwide. A static model is described that enables estimation of measles morbidity, mortality, and disability for the year 2000 on the basis of country-specific information (i.e., demographic profile, vaccine coverage, and estimates of case-fatality ratios). This approach estimated a global incidence of 39.9 million measles cases, 777,000 deaths, and 28 million disability-adjusted life years. The World Health Organization regions of Africa and Southeast Asia had 70% of incident cases and 84% of measles-related deaths; 11 countries alone (Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Somalia, Uganda) account for 66% of deaths. This approach quantifies the measles burden by considering country-specific indicators, which can be updated, permitting an assessment of country, regional, and global changes in the burden associated with measles infection.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Disease Notification
  • Humans
  • Immunization Programs / standards*
  • Incidence
  • Infant
  • Measles / epidemiology*
  • Measles / mortality
  • Measles / prevention & control
  • Measles Vaccine / administration & dosage*
  • Measles virus*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • Vaccination / standards
  • World Health Organization

Substances

  • Measles Vaccine