Secular trends in neonatal macrosomia in Berlin: influences of potential determinants

Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol. 2003 Jul;17(3):244-9. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3016.2003.00496.x.

Abstract

To investigate the trend in the prevalence of neonatal macrosomia and to evaluate the influences of potential determinants, key features of 206 308 hospital deliveries (97% of all) in Berlin in the years 1993-99, collected by the Berlin Medical Board, were analysed using SPSS 10.0. After exclusion of multiple births and preterm infants, there was a significant increase over 7 years (P < 0.01) in the prevalence of birthweights >or= 4000 g, maternal age >or= 30 years, height of >or= 165 cm, prepregnancy BMI (body mass index) >or= 26 kg/m2 and pregnancy weight gain> 16 kg, but no substantial trend in the prevalence of recognised diabetes or maternal smoking. The adjusted model (OR [95% CI]) for delivering a newborn >or= 4000 g was statistically significant for post-term delivery (2.56 [2.39, 2.75]), women aged >or= 30 years (1.06 [1.02-1.11]), >or= 165 cm tall (1.94 [1.87,2.01]), multiparae (1.98 [1.91, 2.05]), not smoking in pregnancy (2.03 [1.93, 2.14]), prepregnancy BMI >or= 26 compared with < 20 (4.01 [3.77, 4.26]), pregnancy weight gain >or= 16 kg compared with < 10 kg (3.37.[3.22, 3.53]) and for recognised diabetes (1.85.[1.69, 2.04]). It is speculated that this increase in the prevalence of neonatal macrosomia may contribute to the secular trend of overweight and obesity under affluent living conditions.

MeSH terms

  • Berlin / epidemiology
  • Birth Weight
  • Body Height
  • Body Mass Index
  • Delivery, Obstetric / statistics & numerical data
  • Female
  • Fetal Macrosomia / epidemiology*
  • Humans
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Male
  • Maternal Age
  • Parity
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy Outcome
  • Prevalence
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Weight Gain