Background: Therapy of atrial fibrillation by electrical cardioversion (CV) is limited by the high rate of recurrences. Early recurrence of atrial fibrillation (ERAF) occurs in a subgroup of patients whose characteristics are poorly defined. This prospective study was performed to evaluate if the P wave signal-averaged ECG (PSAECG) is able to identify patients with an increased risk of ERAF after CV.
Methods: Patients with an indication for elective external CV were enrolled. After successful CV, PSAECGs were recorded at 0.5, 1, 24 h and 1 week. The ability of PSAECG parameters (signal-averaged P wave duration, PWD; root-mean-square of the voltage of the terminal 20, 30, and 40 ms of the signal-averaged P wave; RMS20, RMS30, RMS40) to predict ERAF (prospectively defined as AF recurrence within 4 h after CV) was assessed.
Results: Of 111 consecutive patients, 7 experienced ERAF, 30 patients had AF recurrence later during the 1-week follow-up. Patients with ERAF had a significantly prolonged signal-averaged PWD compared to patients who remained in SR (194+/-16 ms vs 139+/-3 ms at 0.5 h, p<0.001). As ROC analysis revealed, a PWD >/=154 ms at 30 min after CV had the highest predictive accuracy for ERAF (sensitivity 100%, specificity 82%, positive predictive value 33%, negative predictive value 100%). Other parameters of the PSAECG did not reveal significant differences between patients with and without ERAF.
Conclusions: The PSAECG provides a sensitive noninvasive tool for detection of patients at risk of ERAF. Thus identified, tailored pharmacological therapy is conceivable to prevent ERAF.