Systematic substituent effects on the stability of the hydrogen bonding between substituted 9-methyladenine derivatives (Ax) and 1-methyluracil (U) were studied by ab initio molecular orbital theory. Predicted substituent effects on the hydrogen bond energies of Ax-U base pairs were in good agreement with those observed for experimental binding constants. Ab initio calculation is effective for evaluation of the stability of the hydrogen-bonding pairs of chemically modified nucleic acid base analogues. In contrast to the substitution effect of uracil on hydrogen bond energies of A-Ux base pairs, it is difficult to systematically interpret the substitution effect of adenine derivatives for Ax-U base pairs.