Period analysis for 'up-to-date' cancer survival data: theory, empirical evaluation, computational realisation and applications

Eur J Cancer. 2004 Feb;40(3):326-35. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2003.10.013.

Abstract

Long-term survival rates are the most commonly used outcome measures for patients with cancer. However, traditional long-term survival statistics, which are derived by cohort-based types of analysis, essentially reflect the survival expectations of patients diagnosed many years ago. They are therefore often severely outdated at the time they become available. A couple of years ago, a new method of survival analysis, denoted period analysis, has been introduced to derive more 'up-to-date' estimates of long-term survival rates. We give a comprehensive review of the new methodology, its statistical background, empirical evaluation, computational realisation and applications. We conclude that period analysis is a powerful tool to provide more 'up-to-date' cancer survival rates. More widespread use by cancer registries should help to increase the use of cancer survival statistics for patients, clinicians, and public health authorities.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Cohort Studies
  • Computer Simulation
  • Demography
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Humans
  • Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Prognosis
  • Registries
  • Survival Analysis
  • Survival Rate