MELD and other factors associated with survival after liver transplantation

Am J Transplant. 2004 May;4(5):819-25. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2004.00433.x.


Allocation of cadaveric livers for transplantation in the United States is now based on the severity of illness as determined by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, a function of bilirubin, creatinine and international normalized ratio (INR). The aim of our study was to determine the association of various pre-transplant risk factors, including the MELD score, on patient survival after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The medical records of 499 consecutive patients (233 female, 266 males, mean age 50.9 +/- 10.6 years) undergoing cadaveric OLT at our institution between June 1990 and February 1998 were reviewed. In the 407 patients alive at the latest contact, follow-up was 4.7 years, with a minimum of 20 months (maximum of 9.4 years). Variables considered for analysis included MELD score, age, pre-transplant renal dysfunction requiring dialysis, Child-Pugh classification, underlying liver disease, diabetes mellitus, and heart disease (ischemic/valvular/other). There were 92 deaths during follow-up. In univariate analysis, the MELD score, renal failure requiring hemodialysis pre-OLT, age > 42 years, and underlying etiology of liver disease were significantly associated with death during long-term follow-up. In multivariate models, age, underlying etiology of liver disease and renal failure requiring hemodialysis were independent predictors of death after OLT.

MeSH terms

  • Female
  • Humans
  • Liver Failure / mortality
  • Liver Failure / physiopathology*
  • Liver Transplantation / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Renal Dialysis
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Analysis*
  • Survival*
  • Time Factors