An evaluation of state firearm regulations and homicide and suicide death rates

Inj Prev. 2005 Apr;11(2):77-83. doi: 10.1136/ip.2004.007062.

Abstract

Objective: To determine if any of five different state gun laws were associated with firearm mortality: (1) "shall issue" laws permitting an individual to carry a concealed weapon unless restricted by another statute; (2) a minimum age of 21 years for handgun purchase; (3) a minimum age of 21 years for private handgun possession; (4) one gun a month laws which restrict handgun purchase frequency; and (5) junk gun laws which ban the sale of certain cheaply constructed handguns.

Design: A cross sectional time series study of firearm mortality from 1979 to 1998.

Setting: All 50 states and the District of Columbia.

Subjects: All residents of the United States.

Main outcome measures: Firearm homicides, all homicides, firearm suicides, and all suicides.

Results: When a "shall issue" law was present, the rate of firearm homicides was greater, RR 1.11 (95% confidence interval 0.99 to 1.24), than when the law was not present, as was the rate of all homicides, RR 1.08 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.17), although this was not statistically significant. No law was associated with a statistically significant decrease in the rates of firearm homicides or total homicides. No law was associated with a statistically significant change in firearm suicide rates.

Conclusion: A "shall issue" law that eliminates most restrictions on carrying a concealed weapon may be associated with increased firearm homicide rates. No law was associated with a statistically significant reduction in firearm homicide or suicide rates.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Distribution
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cause of Death
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Female
  • Firearms / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Homicide / statistics & numerical data*
  • Homicide / trends
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Sex Distribution
  • Suicide / statistics & numerical data*
  • Suicide / trends
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Wounds, Gunshot / mortality