Background: Due to the aging general population, deceased donors > or =55 years will form an increasingly larger proportion of the deceased kidney donor pool.
Methods: Using data from the United States Renal Data System, we determined the change in graft survival between 1996 and 2000 among 32,557 recipients of donors aged <55 years and > or =55 years in univariate and multivariate survival analyses. We identified donor risk factors for graft loss that might influence the decision to accept or reject donors <55 and > or =55 years. The initial glomerular filtration rate established 6 months after transplantation (initial GFR), and the stability of GFR in the first post-transplant year (GFR at 12 months post-transplantation-GFR at six months post-transplantation) were compared between recipients of donors <55 and > or =55 years and the association of these factors with graft survival was determined.
Results: In 2000, one-year graft survival in donors > or =55 years was 86.7%. Between 1996 and 1999 the projected graft half life improved from 11.4 to 14.5 years for recipients of donors <55 years (P < 0.01); however, there was no improvement for recipients of donors > or =55 years (8.2 to 9.2 year, P= 0.46). Among donor factors studied, only cold ischemic time >24 hours identified recipients of donors > or =55 years at risk for graft loss. Compared to recipients of donors <55 years, recipients of donors > or =55 years established a lower initial GFR (42 vs. 56 mL/min/1.73 m(2), P < 0.0001), and had less stable GFR in the first post-transplant year (-1.5 vs. -0.6 mL/min/1.73 m(2), P <.0001). Recipients from donors > or =55 years with initial GFR > or =50 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and no drop GFR during the first post-transplant year had graft survival that was superior to that of donors <55 years with either initial GFR <50 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or a drop in GFR during the first post-transplant year.
Conclusion: Donors > or =55 years are a valuable resource. Despite improvements in immunosuppression, rejection, and delayed graft function, the projected increase in long-term graft survival among recipients of donors <55 years was not shared among recipients of donors > or =55 years. Recipients of donors > or =55 years had lower initial GFR, and less stable GFR during the first post-transplant year. Limiting cold ischemic time to <24 hours may improve outcomes among recipients of donors > or =55 years. Future studies to maximize initial GFR and minimize early loss of GFR in recipients of donors > or =55 years may lead to improved outcomes from deceased donors > or =55 years.