Background: Little is known about the prevalence of heart failure among very old people, although hospitalisation rates for chronic heart failure are very high. Recently, brain natriuretic peptides have emerged as important diagnostic and prognostic serum markers for congestive heart failure.
Aims: The main purpose of our study was to determine whether there is a cut-off for NT-proBNP for detecting the echocardiographic features of left ventricular systolic and/or diastolic dysfunction and clinical heart failure among old people living in nursing homes. Secondarily, we investigated the medium-term prognostic power of the neurohormone levels.
Methods: We screened 101 old people (80% females, aged 84+/-9 years) from two nursing homes. We prospectively evaluated whether we could effectively stratify patients using a combination of (1) restrictive clinical criteria, (2) NT-proBNP measurements (Elecsys System, Roche Diagnostics) and (3) echocardiography for all patients.
Results: Forty-two percent of the subjects had left ventricular dysfunction: 11% systolic, 23% diastolic and 8% both systolic and diastolic. The mean NT-proBNP concentration was 2806+/-7028 pg/ml in the 42 patients with left ventricular systolic and/or diastolic dysfunction, compared with 365+/-456 pg/ml in the 59 patients with normal left ventricular function (p<0.01, Z=-4.8 Mann-Whitney U test). The neurohormone proved to be a good predictor of events within 6 months [area under the receiver-operated curve (ROC)=0.79].
Conclusions: Blood NT-proBNP concentrations can play an important role in stratifying old people into left ventricular dysfunction risk groups. The neurohormone is an independent marker for death or admission for heart failure in the medium term.