Predictors of schizophrenia: evidence from the Northern Finland 1966 Birth Cohort and other sources

Br J Psychiatry Suppl. 2005 Aug;48:s4-7. doi: 10.1192/bjp.187.48.s4.


Background: Subtle motor, emotional, cognitive and behavioural abnormalities are often present in apparently healthy individuals who later develop schizophrenia, suggesting that some aspects of causation are established before overt psychosis.

Aims: To outline the development of schizophrenia.

Method: We drew on evidence from The Northern Finland 1966 Birth Cohort supplemented by selected findings from other relevant literature.

Results: The main known risk factors in development of schizophrenia are genetic causes, pregnancy and delivery complications, slow neuromotor development, and deviant cognitive and academic performance. However, their effect size and predictive power are small.

Conclusions: No powerful risk factor, premorbid sign or risk indicator has been identified that is useful for the prediction of schizophrenia in the general population.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Child
  • Cohort Studies
  • Developmental Disabilities / psychology*
  • Female
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Pregnancy
  • Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects
  • Risk Factors
  • Schizophrenia / diagnosis
  • Schizophrenia / epidemiology
  • Schizophrenia / etiology*
  • Sex Factors