Risk assessment for asbestos-related cancer from the 9/11 attack on the World Trade Center

J Occup Environ Med. 2005 Aug;47(8):817-25. doi: 10.1097/01.jom.0000167273.17109.6d.

Abstract

Objective: We sought to estimate the lifetime risk of asbestos-related cancer for residents of Lower Manhattan attributable to asbestos released into the air by the 9/11 attack on New York City's World Trade Center (WTC).

Methods: Exposure was estimated from available data and reasoned projections based on these data. Cancer risk was assessed using an asbestos risk model that differentiates asbestos fiber-types and the US Environmental Protection Agency's model that does not differentiate fiber-types and combines mesothelioma and lung cancer risks.

Results: The upper limit for the expected number of asbestos-related cancers is less than one case over the lifetime of the population for the risk model that is specific for fiber-types and 12 asbestos-related cancers with the US Environmental Protection Agency's model.

Conclusions: The cancer risk associated with asbestos exposures for residents of Lower Manhattan resulting from the collapse of the WTC is negligible.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Air Pollutants / adverse effects
  • Air Pollutants / analysis*
  • Asbestos / toxicity*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Dust / analysis
  • Environmental Exposure / adverse effects
  • Environmental Exposure / analysis*
  • Environmental Monitoring / methods
  • Epidemiological Monitoring
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Lung Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Lung Neoplasms / etiology*
  • Male
  • Mesothelioma / epidemiology
  • Mesothelioma / etiology*
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • New York City / epidemiology
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • September 11 Terrorist Attacks*
  • United States
  • United States Environmental Protection Agency

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Dust
  • Asbestos