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. 2005 Sep 7;6(1):14.
doi: 10.1186/1468-6708-6-14.

Predictors of post-operative mortality following treatment for non-ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

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Predictors of post-operative mortality following treatment for non-ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm

Sigitas Urbonavicius et al. Curr Control Trials Cardiovasc Med. .

Abstract

The aim of this prospective study of patients undergoing repair of non-ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm between 1999 and 2003 was to evaluate and compare risk factors for mortality after surgery, to determine a complex of informative factors for lethal outcome, and to define patient risk groups. Logistic regression analysis revealed a complex of informative factors, including female gender, previous myocardial infarction, age greater than 75 years, and clinical course of abdominal aortic aneurysm as important indicators for lethal outcome. A risk score model identified low-, moderate- and high-risk groups with mortality rates of 2.9%, 8.0% and 44.4%, respectively.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
ROC curves of the logistic models: the 1st model (---) included gender, previous myocardial infarction and age above 75 years; the 2nd model (_ _ _ _) included gender, previous myocardial infarction and clinical course of abdominal aortic aneurysm.

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