Econometric critique of the economic change model of mortality

Soc Sci Med. 1992 May;34(9):947-57. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(92)90125-a.

Abstract

The application of time-series data and analysis to study the effects of changes in unemployment rates on mortality rates has been a controversial issue in health-unemployment research for many years. This article presents new criticism against previous aggregate time-series regression models and concludes that these models are misspecified in functional form, and the t-ratios used in significance tests are grossly overstated. Future empirical analysis of the Economic Change Model of Mortality, i.e. the aggregate, time-series relationship between mortality rates and economic variables must pay more attention to the salient characteristics of time-series data and implications for regression results.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Bias
  • Denmark / epidemiology
  • Economics
  • Humans
  • Models, Econometric*
  • Mortality*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Research
  • Time
  • Unemployment / statistics & numerical data*