The accuracy of seven mathematical functions in modeling dairy cattle lactation curves based on test-day records from varying sample schemes

J Dairy Sci. 2006 May;89(5):1813-21. doi: 10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(06)72250-0.

Abstract

Daily milk yield over the course of the lactation follows a curvilinear pattern, so a suitable function is required to model this curve. In this study, 7 functions (Wood, Wilmink, Ali and Schaeffer, cubic splines, and 3 Legendre polynomials) were used to model the lactation curve at the phenotypic level, using both daily observations and data from commonly used recording schemes. The number of observations per lactation varied from 4 to 11. Several criteria based on the analysis of the real error were used to compare models. The performance of models showed few discrepancies in the comparison criteria when daily or 4-weekly (with first test at days in milk 8) data by lactation were used. The performance of the Wood, Wilmink, and Ali and Schaeffer models were highly affected by the reduction of the sample dimension. The results of this work support the idea that the performance of these models depends on the sample properties but also shows considerable variation within the sampling groups.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Cattle / physiology*
  • Female
  • Lactation / physiology*
  • Mathematics
  • Models, Biological*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Sensitivity and Specificity