Predictors of mortality in HIV-1 exposed uninfected post-neonatal infants at the Kenyatta National Hospital, Nairobi

East Afr Med J. 2005 Sep;82(9):447-51. doi: 10.4314/eamj.v82i9.9334.

Abstract

Objectives: To identify potential predictors of mortality, to determine mortality rate and to identify prevalent causes of death in a cohort of HIV-1 exposed uninfected infants.

Design: Prospective cohort study.

Setting: Kenyatta National Hospital, Nairobi, Kenya.

Subjects: Three hundred and fifty one HIV-1 exposed uninfected post-neonatal infants who survived to one year of age.

Results: Sixteen infants died (post-neonatal mortality rate of 47/1000 live births), 14 (88%) before six months of age. The most frequently identified medical conditions at death included bronchopneumonia, diarrhoea and failure to thrive. In multivariate analysis, prematurity (RR=10.5, 95%CI 3.8-29.1, p<0.001), teenage motherhood (RR=3.6, Cl 1.0-13.2, p=0.05) and symptomatic maternal HIV-1 disease (RR=2.7, CI 0.9-7.7, p=0.06) were associated with infant mortality.

Conclusion: Prematurity, teenage motherhood and symptomatic HIV-1 maternal disease were important predictors for post-neonatal mortality in this cohort of HIV-1 exposed uninfected infants. These factors should be considered in monitoring and follow up in prevention of mother-to-child HIV-1 transmission (PMTCT) programs.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Bronchopneumonia / mortality
  • Diarrhea, Infantile / mortality
  • Failure to Thrive / mortality
  • Female
  • HIV Infections*
  • HIV-1*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant Care
  • Infant Mortality / trends*
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical / prevention & control*
  • Kenya
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy in Adolescence
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors