Apolipoprotein B as a long-term predictor of mortality in type 1 diabetes mellitus: a 15-year follow up

J Intern Med. 2006 Sep;260(3):272-80. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2796.2006.01690.x.

Abstract

Objectives: To evaluate the association of apolipoprotein B (apo B) with mortality due to all causes, to cardiac disease and to ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in subjects with type 1 diabetes mellitus.

Subjects: 165 subjects with type 1 diabetes included in the Swiss Cohort of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes were followed for 14.7+/-0.45 years.

Methods: Causes of death were obtained from death certificates, hospital records and postmortem reports. Using a parametric proportional hazards model the association of apo B with mortality rates was assessed by time-to-event analysis, including the absolute cumulative mortality risk over time for various apo B levels at baseline.

Results: Apo B was positively associated with all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 2.65 per g L-1 increase of apo B, 95% CI: 1.11-6.36, P=0.029], cardiac mortality (HR 11.64, 1.03-131.11, P=0.047) and IHD mortality (HR 9.36, 1.26-69.66, P=0.029). An apo B>or=0.96 g L-1 translated into a duplication of overall mortality hazard (HR 1.93, 1.00-3.72, P=0.050), and a sevenfold increase of mortality because of cardiac disease or IHD (HR 7.44, 1.44-38.42, P=0.017 and HR 7.38, 0.78-69.82, P=0.081). A baseline apo B of 1.5 g L-1 predicted an absolute cumulative risk to die over the next 10 years of 12.1% (5.2-31.7) for male and of 10.4% (4.7-26.1) for female subjects whereas risks were 6.3% (1.8-21.4) and 5.4% (0.8-15.8) for an apo B of 0.8 g L-1.

Conclusion: Apo B is consistently associated with an increased mortality in type 1 diabetes.

MeSH terms

  • Apolipoproteins B / blood*
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Cause of Death
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / blood*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / mortality*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Ischemia / blood
  • Myocardial Ischemia / mortality
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Assessment / methods
  • Survival Analysis

Substances

  • Apolipoproteins B
  • Biomarkers