Background: In our cohort considered at high risk (HR) of developing schizophrenia, we previously found a significant difference in extent of right prefrontal cortical folding between those who subsequently developed schizophrenia and a matched group who remained well. This study aimed to determine if this preexisting difference distinguished 17 individuals who developed schizophrenia from the 128 HR individuals in the cohort who remained well and to explore possible underlying differences in cortical composition.
Methods: Prefrontal cortical folding was measured by an automated version of the Gyrification Index (A-GI), a ratio reflecting extent of folding. Multivariate logistic regression assessed the probability that prefrontal A-GI predicts diagnostic outcome and subsequently assessed the effect on A-GI of regional cerebrospinal fluid and gray and white matter.
Results: High-risk individuals who subsequently developed schizophrenia were distinguished from the remaining cohort by increased right prefrontal cortex (PFC) A-GI. Mean right PFC gray matter volume also differed between groups, but white matter volume did not. Correlations of age with gray and white matter further distinguished groups and a linear regression analysis showed a significant interaction between age and diagnosis on mean volume of right PFC white matter.
Conclusions: Increased A-GI appears to indicate abnormal right prefrontal development in those who develop schizophrenia.