Prognostic superiority of daytime ambulatory over conventional blood pressure in four populations: a meta-analysis of 7,030 individuals

J Hypertens. 2007 Aug;25(8):1554-64. doi: 10.1097/HJH.0b013e3281c49da5.


Objective: To investigate the multivariate-adjusted predictive value of systolic and diastolic blood pressures on conventional (CBP) and daytime (10-20 h) ambulatory (ABP) measurement.

Methods: We randomly recruited 7,030 subjects (mean age 56.2 years; 44.8% women) from populations in Belgium, Denmark, Japan and Sweden. We constructed the International Database on Ambulatory blood pressure and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

Results: During follow-up (median = 9.5 years), 932 subjects died. Neither CBP nor ABP predicted total mortality, of which 60.9% was due to noncardiovascular causes. The incidence of fatal combined with nonfatal cardiovascular events amounted to 863 (228 deaths, 326 strokes and 309 cardiac events). In multivariate-adjusted continuous analyses, both CBP and ABP predicted cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, cardiac and coronary events. However, in fully-adjusted models, including both CBP and ABP, CBP lost its predictive value (P >or= 0.052), whereas systolic and diastolic ABP retained their prognostic significance (P <or= 0.007) with the exception of diastolic ABP as predictor of cardiac and coronary events (P >or= 0.21). In adjusted categorical analyses, normotension was the referent group (CBP < 140/90 mmHg and ABP < 135/85 mmHg). Adjusted hazard ratios for all cardiovascular events were 1.22 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.96-1.53; P = 0.09] for white-coat hypertension (>or= 140/90 and < 135/85 mmHg); 1.62 (95% CI = 1.35-1.96; P < 0.0001) for masked hypertension (< 140/90 and >or= 135/85 mmHg); and 1.80 (95% CI = 1.59-2.03; P < 0.0001) for sustained hypertension (>or= 140/90 and >or= 135/85 mmHg).

Conclusions: ABP is superior to CBP in predicting cardiovascular events, but not total and noncardiovascular mortality. Cardiovascular risk gradually increases from normotension over white-coat and masked hypertension to sustained hypertension.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Blood Pressure Monitoring, Ambulatory / methods*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / physiopathology
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Prognosis