The modified APACHE II score outperforms Curb65 pneumonia severity score as a predictor of 30-day mortality in patients with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus pneumonia

Chest. 2008 Feb;133(2):363-9. doi: 10.1378/chest.07-1825. Epub 2007 Oct 20.

Abstract

Objective: To compare the predictive accuracy for 30-day mortality of the CURB65 score adopted by the British Thoracic Society and the simpler CRB65 score to APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II in patients with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) pneumonia.

Design: A retrospective, single-center, observational cohort study.

Setting: Barnes-Jewish Hospital, a 1,200-bed urban teaching hospital.

Patients: Adult patients requiring hospitalization identified to have MRSA pneumonia.

Interventions: Retrospective data collection from automated hospital, microbiology, and pharmacy databases.

Measurements and main results: Two hundred eighteen patients with MRSA pneumonia were identified over a 3-year period. Forty-four patients (20.2%) died during hospitalization. All three prediction rules had high negative predictive values but relatively low positive predictive values at most cut-off points examined. APACHE II had the greatest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.805; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.743 to 0.866) compared to CURB65 (0.634; 95% CI, 0.541 to 0.727) and CRB65 (0.643; 95% CI, 0.546 to 0.739) [p < 0.05 for both comparisons]. Similar results were obtained when the subgroups of community-acquired MRSA pneumonia and health-care-associated MRSA pneumonia were examined separately.

Conclusions: APACHE II outperformed CURB65 and CRB65 for initial prognostic assessment in MRSA pneumonia.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • APACHE
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Methicillin Resistance
  • Middle Aged
  • Pneumonia, Staphylococcal / drug therapy
  • Pneumonia, Staphylococcal / mortality*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Staphylococcus aureus / drug effects
  • Survival Analysis