Performance of clinical signs to detect bluetongue virus serotype 8 outbreaks in cattle and sheep during the 2006-epidemic in The Netherlands

Vet Microbiol. 2008 May 25;129(1-2):156-62. doi: 10.1016/j.vetmic.2007.10.034. Epub 2007 Nov 17.

Abstract

The performance of clinical signs as a diagnostic test for the detection of BTV-8 outbreaks during the 2006-epidemic in The Netherlands was evaluated by constructing and analysing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The area under the ROC curve of the BT-associated clinical signs in cattle was 0.77. An optimal efficient test (maximising both sensitivity and specificity) in cattle herds combined a sensitivity (Se) of 67% with a specificity (Sp) of 72%, comprising the following clinical signs: ulcerations and/or erosions of oral mucosa or erosions of lips/crusts in or around nostrils or oedema of the nose or hyperaemic/purple coloration of tongue, tongue protrusion or coronitis or apathy/tiredness or muscle necrosis, stiffness of limbs or loathing or refusal to move, prostration or torticollis or anoestrus. The area under the ROC curve of the BT-associated clinical signs in sheep was 0.81. The optimal efficient test in sheep flocks combined a Se of 76% with a Sp of 72%, comprising the following clinical signs: ulcerations of oral mucosa or serous nasal discharge or erosions/ulceration of tongue mucosa or hypersensitivity of the skin or muscle necrosis, stiffness of limbs or coronitis or grinding of teeth or salivation or weakness/paresis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bluetongue / diagnosis
  • Bluetongue / epidemiology*
  • Bluetongue / virology
  • Bluetongue virus / classification*
  • Cattle
  • Cattle Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Cattle Diseases / virology
  • Disease Outbreaks / veterinary*
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Population Surveillance
  • Sensitivity and Specificity