Tracing information flow on a global scale using Internet chain-letter data

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2008 Mar 25;105(12):4633-8. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0708471105. Epub 2008 Mar 19.

Abstract

Although information, news, and opinions continuously circulate in the worldwide social network, the actual mechanics of how any single piece of information spreads on a global scale have been a mystery. Here, we trace such information-spreading processes at a person-by-person level using methods to reconstruct the propagation of massively circulated Internet chain letters. We find that rather than fanning out widely, reaching many people in very few steps according to "small-world" principles, the progress of these chain letters proceeds in a narrow but very deep tree-like pattern, continuing for several hundred steps. This suggests a new and more complex picture for the spread of information through a social network. We describe a probabilistic model based on network clustering and asynchronous response times that produces trees with this characteristic structure on social-network data.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Correspondence as Topic*
  • Information Dissemination*
  • Internet*
  • Models, Statistical
  • Social Support
  • Time Factors