The increase in upper extremity injuries in automobile collisions, because of the widespread implantation of airbags, has lead to a better understanding of forearm injury criteria. Risk functions for upper extremity injury that can be used in instrumented upper extremities would be useful. This paper presents a risk function for forearm injury for the 50th percentile male based on bending fracture moment data gathered from previous studies. The data was scaled using two scaling factors, one for orientation and one for mass, and the Weibull survival analysis model was then used to develop the risk function. It was determined that a 25% risk of injury corresponds to an 82 Nm bending load, a 50% risk of injury corresponds to a 100 Nm bending load, and a 75% risk of injury corresponds to a 117 Nm bending load. It is believed the risk function can be used with an instrumented upper extremity during vehicle testing.