Probabilistic model of influenza virus transmissibility at various temperature and humidity conditions

Comput Biol Chem. 2009 Aug;33(4):339-43. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiolchem.2009.07.005. Epub 2009 Aug 4.


The spread efficiency of influenza virus is significantly affected by several environmental parameters. However, neither the underlying reasons, nor the exact character and magnitude of the phenomena involved are sufficiently well understood. Here we present a probabilistic approach to the virus transmission events. For a sample ensemble, we construct a model of the infectivity as a function of the ambient conditions, and we determine its parameter values on the basis of the available experimental data.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Humans
  • Humidity*
  • Influenza, Human / transmission*
  • Influenza, Human / virology
  • Models, Biological*
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Orthomyxoviridae / physiology*
  • Temperature*