A routine tool for detection and assessment of epidemics of influenza-like syndromes in France

Am J Public Health. 1991 Jan;81(1):97-9. doi: 10.2105/ajph.81.1.97.


A regression model for the nonepidemic level of influenza-like syndrome has been estimated from the 55,200 cases collected between October 1984 and August 1988 using the French Communicable Diseases Computer Network. The start of a major epidemic in 1988-89 was detected early. The size of the epidemic, for the entire country, was estimated at approximately 4.3 million cases. The excess cost of sick-leave, among those of working age, was estimated at $86 million.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Disease Outbreaks / statistics & numerical data*
  • Feasibility Studies
  • Forecasting
  • France / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Influenza, Human / epidemiology*
  • Information Systems
  • Models, Statistical
  • Regression Analysis