Mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV): vaccination strategies and budget applications

Epidemiol Infect. 2010 Jun;138(6):853-60. doi: 10.1017/S0950268809991373. Epub 2009 Dec 15.

Abstract

We propose an age-structured mathematical model for respiratory syncytial virus in which children aged <1 year are especially considered. Real data on hospitalized children in the Spanish region of Valencia were used in order to determine some seasonal parameters of the model. Weekly predictions of the number of children aged <1 year that will be hospitalized in the following years in Valencia are presented using this model. Results are applied to estimate the regional cost of paediatric hospitalizations and to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of possible vaccination strategies.

MeSH terms

  • Budgets
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Disease Outbreaks / prevention & control
  • Hospitalization / economics
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Models, Biological*
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections / economics
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections / epidemiology*
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections / prevention & control
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines* / economics
  • Seasons
  • Spain / epidemiology

Substances

  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines