Predictors of 3-year mortality in subjects over 95 years of age. The NonaSantfeliu study

J Nutr Health Aging. 2010 Jan;14(1):63-5. doi: 10.1007/s12603-010-0011-3.

Abstract

Objectives: To examine the survival rates of subjects aged 95 or over after a follow-up period of 3 years, and to determine predictive factors for mortality risk.

Design: A prospective cohort study.

Setting: A community-based study.

Participants: Forty-eight subjects aged 95 or over.

Measurements: Sociodemographic data, Barthel Index, Lawton-Brody Index, Spanish version of the Mini-Mental State Examination, short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment, comorbidity (Charlson Index), and prevalent chronic diseases were evaluated. Patients who died were compared with the rest.

Results: Thirty-six deaths (75%) were recorded during follow-up. The Cox multivariate analysis showed that lower Barthel Index scores and a history of heart failure were independently associated with long-term mortality.

Conclusions: In subjects aged 95 or over, poor functional status and history of heart failure were the two independent risk factors for 3-year mortality.

MeSH terms

  • Activities of Daily Living*
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aging / physiology*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Frail Elderly*
  • Geriatric Assessment
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Life Expectancy
  • Male
  • Mortality*
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors