Decrease in long-term survival for hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Chest. 2010 Aug;138(2):279-83. doi: 10.1378/chest.09-2702. Epub 2010 Apr 9.


Background: The association of hospitalization because of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and long-term survival has not been fully examined. We measured the long-term survival of hospitalized patients with CAP adjusted for the effects of comorbidities.

Methods: A cohort of adult patients admitted to the medical services of the Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Louisville, Kentucky, was retrospectively examined. A Kaplan-Meier survival curve was constructed to assess the effect of CAP admission status on patient survival. A Cox proportional hazards regression model included comorbidities as predictors and time to death as the outcome in the construction of a modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (mCCI). The mCCI was internally validated to evaluate the predictability of patient survival. The mCCI and age > 65 years were included as potential confounders in a final Cox proportional hazards regression model with CAP admission status as the main predictor and time to death as the outcome.

Results: CAP was identified in 624 (9%) out of 6,971 patients. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed a significantly shorter survival among patients with CAP than those without CAP (P < .0001). The internal validation of the mCCI showed that patients were more likely to die as the mCCI increased (P < .0001). The Cox proportional hazards regression modeling the association between time to death and CAP admission after adjusting for elderly age and the mCCI showed that hospitalization due to CAP was a statistically significant predictor of decreased survival (hazard ratio, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.5; P < .0001).

Conclusion: There is a decreased long-term survival among hospitalized patients with CAP after adjusting for comorbidities and aging. Future research to understand the pathophysiology of the long-term CAP outcomes is necessary to develop treatment strategies.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Community-Acquired Infections / mortality*
  • Community-Acquired Infections / therapy
  • Female
  • Hospitalization
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pneumonia / mortality*
  • Pneumonia / therapy
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome