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. 2010 May;128(5):613-8.
doi: 10.1001/archophthalmol.2010.83.

Effect of patient's life expectancy on the cost-effectiveness of treatment for ocular hypertension

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Effect of patient's life expectancy on the cost-effectiveness of treatment for ocular hypertension

Steven M Kymes et al. Arch Ophthalmol. 2010 May.

Abstract

Objective: To assess the influence of expected life span on the cost-effectiveness of treating ocular hypertension to prevent primary open-angle glaucoma.

Methods: We used a Markov simulation model to estimate the cost and benefit of ocular hypertension treatment over a person's remaining life. We examined the influence of age on the cost-effectiveness decision in 2 ways: (1) by evaluating specific age cohorts to assess the influence of age at the initiation of treatment; and (2) by evaluating the influence of a specific life span.

Results: At a willingness to pay $50,000/quality-adjusted life year to $100,000/quality-adjusted life year, treatment of people with a 2% or greater annual risk of developing glaucoma was cost-effective for people aged 45 years with a life expectancy of at least 18 remaining years. However, to be cost-effective, a person aged 55 years must have a life expectancy of 21 remaining years and someone aged 65 years must have a life expectancy of 23 remaining years.

Conclusions: A person with ocular hypertension must have a life expectancy of at least 18 remaining years to justify treatment at a threshold of a 2% or greater annual risk of developing glaucoma. Persons at higher levels of risk require a life expectancy of 7 to 10 additional years to justify treatment.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Diagram of the Markov model used to evaluate the effect of life expectancy on the cost-effectiveness of ocular hypertension treatment to prevent glaucoma. POAG indicates primary open-angle glaucoma.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Cost-effectiveness threshold for treatment by age and willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold. POAG indicates primary open-angle glaucoma; QALY, quality-adjusted life year.

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