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. 2011 May;130(3):454-61.
doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2010.10.047. Epub 2010 Nov 23.

Natural course of recurrent psychological distress in adulthood

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Natural course of recurrent psychological distress in adulthood

Markus Jokela et al. J Affect Disord. 2011 May.

Abstract

Background: The course of major depressive disorder is often characterized by progressing chronicity, but whether this applies to the course of self-reported psychological distress remains unclear. We examined whether the risk of self-reported psychological distress becomes progressively higher the longer the history of distress and whether prolonged history of distress modifies associations between risk markers and future distress.

Methods: Participants were British civil servants from the prospective Whitehall II cohort study (n=7934; 31.5% women, mean age 44.5 years at baseline) followed from 1985 to 2006 with repeat data collected in 7 study phases. Psychological distress was assessed with the 30-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ). Sex, socioeconomic status, marital status, ethnicity, physical activity, alcohol consumption, smoking, and obesity were assessed as risk markers.

Results: Recurrent history of psychological distress was associated with a progressively increasing risk of future distress in a dose-response manner. Common risk markers, such as low socioeconomic status, non-White ethnicity, being single, and alcohol abstinence, were stronger predictors of subsequent distress in participants with a longer history of psychological distress. Sex differences in psychological distress attenuated with prolonged distress history.

Limitations: The participants were already adults in the beginning of the study, so we could not assess the progressive chronicity of psychological distress from adolescence onwards.

Conclusions: These data suggest that self-reported psychological distress becomes more persistent over time and that a longer prior exposure to psychological distress increases sensitivity to the stressful effects of certain risk markers.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Probability (P) of being a GHQ case at Phase PT+1 according to cumulative GHQ score and number of measurements of the cumulative GHQ score available at phase PT. The error bars are 95% confidence intervals. The table below the figure shows the number of observations used in the calculation of each probability (N=7934 participants; 35282 person-observations).
Figure 2
Figure 2
Model-predicted probability (P) of GHQ caseness at phase PT+1 as a function of sociodemographic risk markers and cumulative GHQ score at phase PT. The error bars are 95% confidence intervals. See the interaction effects of table 3 for statistical details. N=7934 participants, 35282 person-observations.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Model-predicted probability (P) of GHQ caseness at phase PT+1 as a function of health-related risk markers and cumulative GHQ score at phase PT. The error bars are 95% confidence intervals. See the interaction effects of table 3 for statistical details. N=7934 participants, 35282 person-observations.

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