The impact of small changes in bar closing hours on violence. The Norwegian experience from 18 cities

Addiction. 2012 Mar;107(3):530-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03643.x. Epub 2011 Nov 29.


Aims: To estimate the effect on violence of small changes in closing hours for on-premise alcohol sales, and to assess whether a possible effect is symmetrical.

Design, setting, and participants: A quasi-experimental design drawing on data from 18 Norwegian cities that have changed (extended or restricted) the closing hours for on-premise alcohol sales. All changes were ≤ 2 hours.

Measurements: Closing hours were measured in terms of the latest permitted hour of on-premise trading, ranging from 1 a.m. to 3 a.m. The outcome measure comprised police-reported assaults that occurred in the city centre between 10 p.m. and 5 a.m. at weekends. Assaults outside the city centre during the same time window should not be affected by changes in closing hours but function as a proxy for potential confounders, and was thus included as a control variable. The data spanned the period Q1 2000-Q3 2010, yielding 774 observations.

Findings: Outcomes from main analyses suggested that each 1-hour extension of closing hours was associated with a statistically significant increase of 4.8 assaults (95% CI 2.60, 6.99) per 100,000 inhabitants per quarter (i.e. an increase of about 16%). Findings indicate that the effect is symmetrical. These findings were consistent across three different modelling techniques.

Conclusion: In Norway, each additional 1-hour extension to the opening times of premises selling alcohol is associated with a 16% increase in violent crime.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Alcohol Drinking / epidemiology
  • Alcohol Drinking / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Alcoholic Beverages / supply & distribution
  • Cities
  • Commerce / legislation & jurisprudence
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Health Policy
  • Humans
  • Norway / epidemiology
  • Public Facilities / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Time Factors
  • Violence / legislation & jurisprudence
  • Violence / prevention & control*
  • Violence / statistics & numerical data