A novel approach to predict the likelihood of specific ovarian tumor pathology based on serum CA-125: a multicenter observational study

Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2011 Nov;20(11):2420-8. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-11-0422. Epub 2011 Sep 9.

Abstract

Background: The CA-125 tumor marker has limitations when used to distinguish between benign and malignant ovarian masses. We therefore establish likelihood curves of six subgroups of ovarian pathology based on CA-125 and menopausal status.

Methods: This cross-sectional study conducted by the International Ovarian Tumor Analysis group involved 3,511 patients presenting with a persistent adnexal mass that underwent surgical intervention. CA-125 distributions for six tumor subgroups (endometriomas and abscesses, other benign tumors, borderline tumors, stage I invasive cancers, stage II-IV invasive cancers, and metastatic tumors) were estimated using kernel density estimation with stratification for menopausal status. Likelihood curves for the tumor subgroups were derived from the distributions.

Results: Endometriomas and abscesses were the only benign pathologies with median CA-125 levels above 20 U/mL (43 and 45, respectively). Borderline and invasive stage I tumors had relatively low median CA-125 levels (29 and 81 U/mL, respectively). The CA-125 distributions of stage II-IV invasive cancers and benign tumors other than endometriomas or abscesses were well separated; the distributions of the other subgroups overlapped substantially. This held for premenopausal and postmenopausal patients. Likelihood curves and reference tables comprehensibly show how subgroup likelihoods change with CA-125 and menopausal status.

Conclusions and impact: Our results confirm the limited clinical value of CA-125 for preoperative discrimination between benign and malignant ovarian pathology. We have shown that CA-125 may be used in a different way. By using likelihood reference tables, we believe clinicians will be better able to interpret preoperative serum CA-125 results in patients with adnexal masses.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adnexal Diseases / blood
  • Adnexal Diseases / diagnosis
  • Adnexal Diseases / pathology
  • Adult
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / blood*
  • CA-125 Antigen / blood*
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Diagnosis, Differential
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / blood*
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / diagnosis
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / pathology
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / surgery

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • CA-125 Antigen