Comparison of morbidity of elderly patients in August and November in Attica, Greece: a prospective study

Abstract

Background: In our clinical practice, we have experienced a consistent increase in the morbidity of elderly in Greece during August.

Methods: We prospectively analysed and compared the morbidity of elderly patients (≥ 75 years old) between August and November of the same year (2010), using data from the SOS Doctors (a network of physicians performing house call visits).

Results: We analysed data on 739 and 738 elderly patient house-calls in August and November, respectively. Overall, the most common diagnoses were cardiovascular (17.6%), musculoskeletal (10.7%), gastrointestinal (9.5%), respiratory (8.5%), renal/genitourinary (8.1%), and neurologic/psychiatric (7.9%). In August, patients were older (p < 0.01), carried a heavier burden of disease (as inferred by specific types of comorbidity and associated medical conditions), were more frequently recommended emergency hospitalization (p < 0.01) and had a worse outcome of primary illness (p < 0.05). Mortality of elderly visited in August was significantly higher compared to November (5% vs. 2%, p < 0.01). The sole independent predictor of mortality was patient's bedridden status [adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 5.59, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 2.83-11.06, p < 0.001]. The identified independent predictors of recommendation for emergency hospitalization were patient's lethargic status [OR = 2.88 (1.80, 4.59), p < 0.001], fever [OR = 2.55 (1.84, 3.54), p < 0.001], heat stroke [OR = 2.08 (1.19, 3.64), p = 0.01], Alzheimer's disease [OR = 1.77 (1.15, 2.72), p = 0.01] and bedridden status [OR = 1.45 (1.07, 1.97), p < 0.05].

Conclusion: Morbidity and mortality of elderly patients was significantly higher in August compared with November, substantiating the informal term 'Augustitis' for the Greek elderly. Large, prospective population-based studies are warranted to further enlighten this field.