Purpose: Identifying cancer patients who are most at risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is essential to improve timely delivery of chemotherapy. Several studies have been performed to identify novel candidate biomarkers, but no agreement has yet been reached. In this light, we sought to analyze whether a dynamic evaluation of early changes of activated protein C (APC) function during chemotherapy could be predictive of a first VTE episode in cancer outpatients, thus improving risk stratification.
Methods: A retrospective single-center pilot study was conducted to investigate the adequacy of a dynamic evaluation of a novel APC-dependent thrombin generation assay (HemosIL ThromboPath (ThP)) in predicting VTE in 208 ambulatory cancer patients, enrolled on the basis of tight inclusion criteria, prior to start and before the second cycle of a new chemotherapy regimen.
Results: Retrospective analysis of samples showed the occurrence of an acquired APC resistance during chemotherapy, which was predictive of VTE. Univariate Cox proportional hazards survival analysis showed that early ThP changes predicted VTE (stable vs. decreasing ThP: hazard ratio (HR) 0.21; 95% CI 0.10-0.19; p < 0.0001), which was confirmed in the multivariate model (HR 0.25; CI 0.12-0.52, p < 0.0001). Stratification of patients according to a risk assessment model showed a 0.18 HR for stable vs. decreasing ThP assay results in an intermediate risk group.
Conclusions: We may thus conclude that early changes of ThP assay in patients on active chemotherapy enhance VTE risk stratification, helping in identifying a population of cancer patients who might benefit from thromboprophylaxis.