Development of a novel score for liver fibrosis staging and comparison with eight simple laboratory scores in large numbers of HCV-monoinfected patients

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to develop and evaluate a predictive score named Fibrosis Routine Test (FRT) for liver fibrosis staging and to compare FRT with APRI, Lok, GUCI, FI, FibroQ, FCI, FIB-4 and 4RLB scores in large numbers of untreated HCV-monoinfected patients.

Methods: Large numbers of estimation (N=2045) and validation patients (N=3212) were included in this study. Stepwise linear discriminant analysis and area under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to create a predictive score comprising age, AFP, APRI and albumin.

Results: In the estimation study, FRT produced AUCs 0.84, 0.85 and 0.86 for significant (F2-F4), advanced fibrosis (F3-F4) and cirrhosis (F4), respectively. FRT > 4 was 83% specific and 73% sensitive for F2-F4, FRT > 5 was 83% specific and 71% sensitive for F3-F4 and FRT > 5.5 was 81% specific and 73% sensitive for F4. In the validation study, FRT produced AUCs 0.81, 0.89 and 0.95 for F2-F4, F3-F4 and F4, respectively. The above eight scores demonstrated lower AUCs than FRT.

Conclusion: While liver biopsy is invasive, costly and associated with complications, Fibrosis Routine Test (FRT) is a non-invasive, inexpensive, simple and may reduce the need of liver biopsy.