Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide level predicts kidney prognosis in patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease

Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2012 Oct;27(10):3885-91. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfs365.


Background: As a cardiorenal syndrome, there is a dynamic interplay between the heart and the kidney. We conducted a prospective study to evaluate the prognostic impact of plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level, a cardiac biomarker, on the long-term kidney prognosis in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.

Methods: We prospectively enrolled 508 patients with CKD Stages 3, 4 and 5 not on dialysis, from a single nephrology department between 2004 and 2010. The exclusion criteria were over 90 years of age, malignancy, active infection, low cardiac ejection fraction and rapid progressive glomerulonephritis. Relationships between BNP and kidney end point [defined as doubling of baseline serum creatinine and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) requiring kidney replacement therapy] were measured using Cox models for case-mix and laboratory variables.

Results: The final analysis covered 485 participants with no loss to follow-up. The median follow-up period was 3.2 years. Two hundred and twenty-eight of the 485 patients reached ESKD requiring dialysis, and baseline serum creatinine levels doubled in another 31. The kidney end point was significantly poorer among patients with plasma BNP levels above, compared with below a cut-off value of 86.1 pg/mL indicated from receiver operating characteristic analysis. Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified the common logarithm BNP as a predictor of kidney end point (adjusted hazard ratio 1.78, 95% CI: 1.28-2.46, P < 0.01).

Conclusions: Elevation of BNP level is associated with an increased risk for accelerated progression of CKD ultimately to ESKD. Monitoring the BNP level could be helpful in the management of combined heart and kidney disease.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / blood
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Renal Dialysis
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / blood*
  • Risk Factors


  • Biomarkers
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain