How small is too small? A systematic review of center volume and outcome after cardiac transplantation

Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2012 Nov;5(6):783-90. doi: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.112.966630. Epub 2012 Nov 6.

Abstract

Background: The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between the volume of cardiac transplantation procedures performed in a center and the outcome after cardiac transplantation.

Methods and results: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane library were searched for articles on the volume-outcome relationship in cardiac transplantation. Ten studies were identified, and all adopted a different approach to data analysis and varied in adjustment for baseline characteristics. The number of patients in each study ranged from 798 to 14401, and observed 1-year mortality ranged from 12.6% to 34%. There was no association between the continuous variables of center volume and observed mortality. There was a weak association between the continuous variables of center volume and adjusted mortality up to 1 year and a stronger association at 5 years. When centers were grouped in volume categories, low-volume centers had the highest adjusted mortality, intermediate-volume centers had lower adjusted mortality, and high-volume centers had the lowest adjusted mortality but were not significantly better than intermediate-volume centers. Category limits were arbitrary and varied between studies.

Conclusions: There is a relationship between center volume and mortality in heart transplantation. The existence of a minimum acceptable center volume or threshold is unproven. However, a level of 10 to 12 heart transplants per year corresponds to the upper limit of low-volume categories that may have relatively higher mortality. It is not known whether outcomes for patients treated in low-volume transplant centers would be improved by reorganizing centers to ensure volumes in excess of 10 to 12 heart transplants per year.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Review
  • Systematic Review

MeSH terms

  • Heart Transplantation* / adverse effects
  • Heart Transplantation* / mortality
  • Hospitals, High-Volume* / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospitals, Low-Volume* / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Odds Ratio
  • Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care* / statistics & numerical data
  • Quality Indicators, Health Care / statistics & numerical data
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome